The projected increase of vertebral osteomyelitis in Germany implies a demanding challenge for future healthcare management of aging populations.

PURPOSE: Since an increase in the occurrence of native vertebral osteomyelitis (VO) is expected and reliable projections are missing, it is urgent to provide a reliable forecast model and make it a part of future health care considerations. METHODS: Comprehensive nationwide data provided by the Federal Statistical Office of Germany were used to forecast total numbers and incidence rates (IR) of VO as a function of age and gender until 2040. Projections were done using autoregressive integrated moving average model on historical data from 2005 to 2019 in relation to official population projections from 2020 to 2040. RESULTS: The IR of VO is expected to increase from 12.4 in 2019 to 21.5 per 100,000 inhabitants [95% CI 20.9-22.1] in 2040. The highest increase is predicted in patients over 75 years of age for both men and women leading to a steep increase in absolute numbers, which is fourfold higher compared to patients younger than 75 years. While the IR per age group will not increase any further after 2035, the subsequent increase is due to a higher number of individuals aged 75 years or older. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that increasing IR of VO will seriously challenge healthcare systems, particularly due to demographic change and increasing proportions of populations turning 75 years and older. With respect to globally fast aging populations, future health care policies need to address this burden by anticipating limitations in financial and human resources and developing high-level evidence-based guidelines for prevention and interdisciplinary treatment.

Simplified Methods for Modelling Dependent Parameters in Health Economic Evaluations: A Tutorial.

BACKGROUND: In health economic evaluations, model parameters are often dependent on other model parameters. Although methods exist to simulate multivariate normal (MVN) distribution data and estimate transition probabilities in Markov models while considering competing risks, they are technically challenging for health economic modellers to implement. This tutorial introduces easily implementable applications for handling dependent parameters in modelling. METHODS: Analytical proofs and proposed simplified methods for handling dependent parameters in typical health economic modelling scenarios are provided, and implementation of these methods are illustrated in seven examples along with the SAS and R code. RESULTS: Methods to quantify the covariance and correlation coefficients of correlated variables based on published summary statistics and generation of MVN distribution data are demonstrated using examples of physician visits data and cost component data. The use of univariate normal distribution data instead of MVN distribution data to capture population heterogeneity is illustrated based on the results from multiple regression models with linear predictors, and two examples are provided (linear fixed-effects model and Cox proportional hazards model). A conditional probability method is introduced to handle two or more state transitions in a single Markov model cycle and applied in examples of one- and two-way state transitions. CONCLUSIONS: This tutorial proposes an extension of routinely used methods along with several examples. These simplified methods may be easily applied by health economic modellers with varied statistical backgrounds.

Factores de riesgo asociados a osteomielitis por Corynebacterium striatum en pacientes con pie diabético / Risk factors associated with osteomyelitis due to Corynebacterium striatum in patients with diabetic foot

Objetivo Corynebacterium striatum (C. striatum) es un microorganismo emergente en la infección de pie diabético poco estudiado. El objetivo es evaluar los factores de riesgo (FR) relacionados con osteomielitis por C. striatum en paciente con pie diabético. Métodos Estudio casos-controles en la Unidad de Pie Diabético entre 2015 y 2021. Un número de 44 pacientes con osteomielitis por C. striatum (casos) y 44 con osteomielitis por microorganismo distinto (controles) fueron incluidos. Resultados Enfermedad arterial periférica (odds ratio [OR]: 2,8, p = 0,037), fibrilación auricular (OR: 3,7, p = 0,034), pie diabético isquémico (OR: 3,3, p = 0,020) y antibioterapia previa prolongada más de 14 días (OR: 3,4, p = 0,012) fueron FR para la osteomielitis por C. striatum. En el análisis multivariado la antibioterapia más de 14 días fue el único FR independiente (OR: 3,46; p = 0,017) para osteomielitis por C. striatum. Conclusiones La antibioterapia previa recibida durante más de 14 días es un FR independiente y estadísticamente significativo de osteomielitis por C. striatum en pacientes con pie diabético (AU)

Objective Corynebacterium striatum (CS) is an emerging micro-organism in diabetic foot infection for which there are currently few studies. The objective was to analyze the risk factors (RF) related to CS osteomyelitis in patients with diabetic foot. Methods A case–control study was conducted in the Diabetic Foot Unit between 2015 and 2021. Forty-four patients with osteomyelitis due to CS (cases) and 44 patients with osteomyelitis due a different micro-organism (controls) were included. Results Peripheral artery disease (OR: 2.8, p = 0.037), atrial fibrillation (OR: 3.7, p = 0.034), ischemic diabetic foot (OR: 3.3, p = 0.020) and previous prolonged antibiotic therapy more than 14 days (OR: 3.4, p = 0.012) were identified as RF for osteomyelitis due to CS. When performing the multivariate analysis antibiotic therapy >14 days was independent RF (OR: 3.46; p = 0.017). Conclusions Previous antibiotic therapy received more than 14 days is an independent and statistically significant RF for CS osteomyelitis in patients with diabetic foot (AU)

Effect of diisobutyl adipate on the expression of biomarker genes that respond to endocrine disruption and on gonadal sexual differentiation in Japanese medaka (Oryzias latipes).

Phthalate and non-phthalate plasticizers are used in polymer materials, such as plastic and rubber. It has recently been found that diisobutyl adipate (DIBA), which is considered an environmentally safe non-phthalate plasticizer, potentially acts as a thyroid disruptor in fish. Here, we investigated the sexual hormone effects of DIBA based on the expression levels of genes that respond to endocrine disruption and sexual hormone activity in the livers and gonads, and on gonadal sexual differentiation in Japanese medaka. Compared with the control group, the mRNA expression of chgH, vtg1, vtg2, and esr1 was significantly suppressed in the livers of DIBA exposed XX individuals. Furthermore, the mRNA expression of gsdf was significantly upregulated and downregulated in the gonads of XX and XY individuals, respectively. The mRNA expressions of esr1 and esr2b were significantly suppressed by DIBA exposure in the gonads of both XX and XY individuals. These observations suggest that DIBA has potential androgenic activity in Japanese medaka. However, normal testes and ovaries were observed in respective XY and XX medaka after DIBA exposure; therefore, these results suggest that DIBA may have weak androgenic activity.

[Risk factors associated with osteomyelitis due to Corynebacterium striatum in patients with diabetic foot]. / Factores de riesgo asociados a osteomielitis por Corynebacterium striatum en pacientes con pie diabético.

OBJECTIVE: Corynebacterium striatum (CS) is an emerging micro-organism in diabetic foot infection for which there are currently few studies. The objective was to analyze the risk factors (RF) related to CS osteomyelitis in patients with diabetic foot. METHODS: A case-control study was conducted in the Diabetic Foot Unit between 2015 and 2021. Forty-four patients with osteomyelitis due to CS (cases) and 44 patients with osteomyelitis due a different micro-organism (controls) were included. RESULTS: Peripheral artery disease (OR: 2.8, p = 0.037), atrial fibrillation (OR: 3.7, p = 0.034), ischemic diabetic foot (OR: 3.3, p = 0.020) and previous prolonged antibiotic therapy more than 14 days (OR: 3.4, p = 0.012) were identified as RF for osteomyelitis due to CS. When performing the multivariate analysis antibiotic therapy >14 days was independent RF (OR: 3.46; p = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Previous antibiotic therapy received more than 14 days is an independent and statistically significant RF for CS osteomyelitis in patients with diabetic foot.

Evaluación de la simulación de alta fidelidad con actores en cuidados paliativos y estudiantes de Enfermería: un estudio de método mixto / Assessment of high fidelity simulation with actors in palliative care in nursing students: A mixed methods study

Objetivo: Los métodos formativos más efectivos son los experienciales, y entre ellos, los que están centrados en las vivencias y emociones. La simulación clínica, especialmente la de alta fidelidad, es una de las metodologías más efectivas para la adquisición de competencias en cuidados. La simulación con actores puede preparar a los futuros sanitarios en técnicas y competencias intelectuales e interpersonales. El objetivo fue valorar la simulación de alta fidelidad con actores como herramienta en la formación de cuidados paliativos en estudiantes de enfermería. Método: Durante tres años se realizó el estudio en la Facultad de Enfermería de la Universidad de Murcia con estudiantes de enfermería. Se realizó un estudio de método mixto con un diseño secuencial explicativo en tres momentos: 1)Estudio cuasi-experimental con grupo único (n=12) antes y después de cursar la asignatura de cuidados paliativos donde se realizó simulación clínica y se evaluaron competencias de comunicación mediante la escala CICAA. 2)Estudio cualitativo fenomenológico tras la simulación (174 narrativas reflexivas de estudiantes). 3)Estudio transversal observacional, un año después, para valorar la transferencia a la clínica de conocimientos y habilidades (contestaron 71 estudiantes). Resultados: La simulación de alta fidelidad con actores mejora las habilidades comunicativas y la capacidad para establecer una relación de ayuda eficaz tanto con pacientes en la fase final de la vida como con sus familiares. Es una metodología de aprendizaje innovadora, útil y que fomenta la reflexión y el traslado del aprendizaje a la clínica. Conclusiones: Se recomienda la estandarización de metodologías activas de aprendizaje para mejorar la adquisición de habilidades transversales como las de comunicación en cuidados paliativos.(AU)

Objective: The most effective training methods are experiential, including those focused on experiences and emotions. Clinical simulation, especially high-fidelity simulation, is one of the most effective methodologies for the acquisition of competencies in care like palliative care. The simulation with actors can train future healthcare science professionals in technical, intellectual, or interpersonal skills. The objective is to evaluate high-fidelity simulation with actors as a tool in palliative care training for nursing students. Method: Over three years, the study was conducted in the Faculty of Nursing of Murcia with nursing students. A mixed methods study with sequential explanatory design in three moments was conducted: 1)Quasi-experimental study in a single group (n=12) before and after attending the palliative care course with clinical simulation with actors to assess the communication skills (CICAA scale). 2)Qualitative study with phenomenological perspective after clinical simulation (174 reflective students’ narratives). 3)Cross-sectional observational study, one year later, to assess the transfer of knowledge and skills to the clinical practice (71 students). Results: Students who interacted with actors in clinical simulation improved their communication skills and the ability to establish an effective helping relationship with both end-of-life patients and their families. The students perceived the clinical simulation as an innovative learning methodology that is useful to encourage reflection and transfer of learning during their clinical internship. Conclusions: Standardization of the use of active learning methodologies is recommended for a better acquisition of transversal skills such as communication skills in palliative care.(AU)

Assessment of high fidelity simulation with actors in palliative care in nursing students: a mixed methods study.

OBJECTIVE: The most effective training methods are experiential, including those focused on experiences and emotions. Clinical simulation, especially high-fidelity simulation, is one of the most effective methodologies for the acquisition of competencies in care like palliative care. The simulation with actors can train future healthcare science professionals: in technical, intellectual, or interpersonal skills. The objective is to evaluate high-fidelity simulation with actors as a tool in palliative care training for nursing students. METHOD: Over three years, the study was conducted in a Faculty of Nursing of the south of Spain with nursing students. A mixed methods study with sequential explanatory design in three moments was conducted: (1) Quasi-experimental study in a single group (n = 12) before and after attending the palliative care course with Clinical Simulation with actors to assess the communication skills (CICAA scale), (2) Qualitative study with phenomenological perspective after Clinical Simulation (174 reflective students' narratives), (3) Cross-sectional observational study, one year later, to assess the transfer of knowledge and skills to the clinical practice (71 students). RESULTS: Students who interacted with actors in Clinical Simulation improved their communication skills and the ability to establish an effective helping relationship with both end-of-life patients and their families. The students perceived the Clinical Simulation as an innovative learning methodology that is useful to encourage reflection and transfer of learning during their clinical internship. CONCLUSIONS: Standardization of the use of active learning methodologies is recommended for a better acquisition of transversal skills such as communication skills in palliative care.

Pancreatic panniculitis revisited: A series of 34 patients.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic panniculitis is a rare form of panniculitis generally associated with acute or chronic pancreatitis, and less frequently with pancreatic carcinoma. Clinically, it presents with subcutaneous nodules usually located in the lower extremities, however, it presents an almost pathognomonic histopathological finding with enzymatic fat necrosis in the adipose tissue. METHODS: In this retrospective case series of five hospitals, biopsy specimens of cutaneous lesions of pancreatic panniculitis were reviewed. Clinical information was obtained through medical records. RESULTS: A total of 34 cases were included, 23 women and 11 men, aged between 31 and 92 years. The most common associated pancreatic disease was acute pancreatitis (23 cases) and its main triggering cause was gallstones (17 cases). In two patients it was related to chronic pancreatitis and six cases were associated with malignancy. Histopathological findings were always the key to diagnosis. In the biopsies reviewed, mostly lobular panniculitis with the characteristic necrosis of the adipocytes was observed. In addition, nine of the cases presented with Splendore-Hoeppli phenomenon. CONCLUSIONS: We present the largest series of pancreatic panniculitis. Clinically, the female predominance and biliary lithiasis as the main cause of acute pancreatitis are to be emphasized. Histopathologically, a peripheral eosinophilic striated rim surrounding aggregates of ghost adipocytes consistent with Splendore-Hoeppli is an additional clue to its diagnosis.

Severity of spinal degeneration does not affect the pain reduction under continuous epidural analgesia.

PURPOSE: To outline clinical effectiveness of continuous epidural analgesia (CEA) in patients with failed back surgery syndrome (FBSS) or lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) depending on severity of spinal degeneration. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, all patients with FBSS or LSS who underwent CEA within an inpatient rehabilitation program were evaluated. The pain reduction was measured by VAS on an hourly basis. Substantial pain reduction was defined as a minimal clinically important difference (MCID) > 50%. Severity of spinal degeneration, side effects and patient-specific characteristics were documented. RESULT: We included a total of 148 patients with 105 patients suffering from FBSS and 48 with LSS. The average pain reduction was - 37.6 ± 19.2 in FBSS and - 38.1 ± 17.8 in LSS group (p < .001 and p < .001, respectively). In the FBSS group, sensory deficits (p = .047) and numbness (p = .002), and in the LSS group, a severe disability measured by ODI (38.2 ± 15.4 vs. 57.3 ± 11.3, p < .001) significantly contributed to a worse outcome. The severity of the spinal degeneration and psychological disorders did not affect the pain reduction in terms of MCID. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides new evidence about CEA in the treatment of FBSS and LSS. CEA provides a significant pain reduction even under intensified physiotherapeutic exercising in patients with severe spinal degeneration and a broad variety of secondary diagnoses. Neurologic deficits in case of FBSS and severe disability in case of LSS may be risk factors for less favorable outcome.

Semiempirical Two-Dimensional Model of the Bipolar Resistive Switching Process in Si-NCs/SiO2 Multilayers.

In this work, the SET and RESET processes of bipolar resistive switching memories with silicon nanocrystals (Si-NCs) embedded in an oxide matrix is simulated by a stochastic model. This model is based on the estimation of two-dimensional oxygen vacancy configurations and their relationship with the resistive state. The simulation data are compared with the experimental current-voltage data of Si-NCs/SiO2 multilayer-based memristor devices. Devices with 1 and 3 Si-NCs/SiO2 bilayers were analyzed. The Si-NCs are assumed as agglomerates of fixed oxygen vacancies, which promote the formation of conductive filaments (CFs) through the multilayer according to the simulations. In fact, an intermediate resistive state was observed in the forming process (experimental and simulated) of the 3-BL device, which is explained by the preferential generation of oxygen vacancies in the sites that form the complete CFs, through Si-NCs.

Comparison of ALIF and PLIF in Isthmic Lumbosacral Spondylolisthesis. A Multicenter Surveillance Study of 602 cases from the German Spine Registry (DWG Register).

BACKGROUND: Isthmic spondylolisthesis most commonly occurs in the lumbosacral junction and can cause backpain and radicular pain as well as stiffness with progressive immobilization, with a negative impact on an individual's ability to work and quality of life. Multiple operative treatments are currently available. This study aims to compare complications, demography, and clinical features between anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) and posterior lumber body fusion (PLIF) in the operative treatment in isthmic spondylolisthesis. METHODS: An analysis of data from the German spine registry (Deutsche Wirbelsäulengesellschaft [DWG]-Register) of patients who underwent operative treatment (PLIF and ALIF) for isthmic spondylolisthesis in the sacrolumbar junction in 170 departments between January 2017 and May 2021 was performed. Age, gender, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, surgical approach, smoker/nonsmoker, as well as severeness of the spondylolisthesis according to the Meyerding classification were evaluated. RESULTS: In total, 602 patients undergoing fusion in L5/S1 were identified in the registry, n = 570 PLIF (group 1) and n = 32 ALIF (group 2). A significant difference in the ASA score between the two groups was noted; group 1 had more patients suffering a more debilitating disease in comparison to group 2. There was no significant difference in gender, grade of spondylolisthesis, age, or smoking status. Significant differences were found in operative and postoperative variables and complications (fusion material, dura injury). CONCLUSION: No difference was found between the two procedures in terms of symptomatic benefit of patients who underwent either ALIF or PLIF. According to the DWG Register, PLIF was the preferred method to treat isthmic spondylolisthesis in the sacrolumbar junction in Germany. To compare these two spine fusion techniques, further studies with an adequate sample size and follow-up period are required.

Neuroendoscopic Lavage and Third Ventriculostomy for the Treatment of Intraventricular Hemorrhage and Hydrocephalus in Neonates. A Prospective Study with 18 Months of Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND: Neonatal intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) may evolve into posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus and cause neurodevelopmental impairment, becoming a common complication of premature infants, occurring in up to 40% of preterm infants weighing less than 1,500 g at birth. Around 10 to 15% of preterm infants develop severe (grades III-IV) IVH. These infants are at high risk of developing posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus. Neuroendoscopic lavage (NEL) is a suitable alternative for the management of this pathology. In this study, an endoscopic surgical approach directed toward the removal of intraventricular hematoma was evaluated for its safety and efficacy. METHODS: Between August 2016 and December 2019 (29 months), 14 neonates with posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus underwent NEL for removal of intraventricular blood by a single senior neurosurgeon. Complications such as reintervention and ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt placement were evaluated prospectively with an 18-month follow-up on average. RESULTS: In total, 14 neonates with IVH grades III and IV were prospectively recruited. Of these, six neonates did not need a VP shunt in the follow-up after neuroendoscopy (group 1), whereas eight neonates underwent a VP shunt placement (group 2). Nonsignificant difference between the groups was found concerning days after neuroendoscopy, clot extraction, third ventriculostomy, lamina terminalis fenestration, and septum pellucidum fenestration. In group 2, there was shunt dysfunction in five cases with shunt replacement in four cases. CONCLUSION: NEL is a feasible technique to remove intraventricular blood degradation products and residual hematoma in neonates suffering from posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus. In our series, endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) + NEL could be effective in avoiding hydrocephalus after hemorrhage (no control group studied). Furthermore, patients without the necessity of VP-shunt had a better GMFCS in comparison with shunted patients.

Assessing diabetic polyneuropathy in Spanish-speaking patients: Translation and validation of the Toronto Clinical Neuropathy Score.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSP) is a common complication of diabetes. The Toronto Clinical Neuropathy Score (TCNS) is a useful tool for detecting DSP. However, it is not available in Spanish. The study aimed to translate and culturally adapt the TCNS and modified (mTCNS) scales into Spanish and evaluate their measurement properties. METHODS: A multistep forward-backward method was used for translation and cultural adaptation. A panel of physicians subjected the final Spanish versions of TCNS and mTCNS (TCÑS, mTCÑS) to cognitive debriefing. Consecutive patients with diabetes mellitus and DSP were recruited from an outpatient clinic, and the TCÑS and mTCÑS were tested for construct validity, along with other measures. RESULTS: The internal consistency of both TCÑS and mTCÑS was excellent, as evidenced by Cronbach's Alpha coefficients of 0.83 and 0.85, respectively. Furthermore, there was a robust positive correlation between TCÑS and mTCÑS. In addition, TCÑS was found to exhibit a strong negative correlation with sural sensory nerve action potential amplitude (r = -0.9206) and peroneal compound motor action potential amplitude (r = -0.729), while demonstrating a positive and strong correlation with the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (r = 0.713). INTERPRETATION: The TCÑS and mTCÑS are reliable and valid translations of the original TCNS. The TCÑS and mTCÑS can be used to diagnose and measure the severity of neuropathy in Spanish-speaking patients with diabetes.

Effectiveness of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in children and adolescents: a large-scale observational study.

Background: Policymakers urgently need evidence to adequately balance the costs and benefits of mass vaccination against COVID-19 across all age groups, including children and adolescents. In this study, we aim to assess the effectiveness of CoronaVac's primary series among children and adolescents in Chile. Methods: We used a large prospective national cohort of about two million children and adolescents 6-16 years to estimate the effectiveness of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in preventing laboratory-confirmed symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19), hospitalisation, and admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) associated with COVID-19. We compared the risk of individuals treated with a complete primary immunization schedule (two doses, 28 days apart) with the risk of unvaccinated individuals during the follow-up period. The study was conducted in Chile from June 27, 2021, to January 12, 2022, when the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant was predominant but other variants of concern were co-circulating, including Omicron. We used inverse probability-weighted survival regression models to estimate hazard ratios of complete immunization over the unvaccinated status, accounting for time-varying vaccination exposure and adjusting for relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical confounders. Findings: The estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness for the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in children aged 6-16 years was 74.5% (95% CI, 73.8-75.2), 91.0% (95% CI, 87.8-93.4), 93.8% (95% CI, 87.8-93.4) for the prevention of COVID-19, hospitalisation, and ICU admission, respectively. For the subgroup of children 6-11 years, the vaccine effectiveness was 75.8% (95% CI, 74.7-76.8) for the prevention of COVID-19 and 77.9% (95% CI, 61.5-87.3) for the prevention of hospitalisation. Interpretation: Our results suggest that a complete primary immunization schedule with the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine provides effective protection against severe COVID-19 disease for children 6-16 years. Funding: Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID) Millennium Science Initiative Program and Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigación en Áreas Prioritarias (FONDAP).

Photoredox Catalysis for the Synthesis of N-CF2 H Compounds Using 1-((N-(difluoromethyl)-4-methylphenyl)-sulfonamido)pyridin-1-ium Trifluoromethanesulfonate.

N-(difluoromethyl)amino (-NCF2 H) compounds are of great interest given their unique and underexplored physiochemical properties. The lack of structural diversity in NCF2 H compounds is likely due in part to the shortage of protocols for efficient installation. Presented herein is a new shelf-stable pyridinium reagent that enables the direct installation of the N-(difluoromethyl)sulfonamide moiety [N(Ts)CF2 H)] onto (hetero)arenes and alkenes for the diversification of aryl and alkyl NCF2 H compounds. The described protocol utilizes blue light photoredox catalysis and displays broad functional group tolerance with excellent chemoselectivity. Additional transformations and applicability towards a photoredox continuous flow protocol are also demonstrated.

External clinical validation of automated software to identify structural abnormalities and microhaemorrhages in nailfold videocapillaroscopy images.

OBJECTIVES: Automated systems to analyse nailfold videocapillaroscopy (NVC) images are needed to promptly and comprehensively characterise patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) or Raynaud's phenomenon (RP). We previously developed, and validated in-house, a deep convolutional neural network-based algorithm to classify NVC-captured images according to the presence/absence of structural abnormalities and/or microhaemorrhages. We present its external clinical validation. METHODS: A total of 1,164 NVC images of RP patients were annotated by 5 trained capillaroscopists according to the following categories: normal capillary; dilation; giant capillary; abnormal shape; tortuosity; microhaemorrhage. The images were also presented to the algorithm. Matches and discrepancies between algorithm predictions and those annotations obtained by consensus of ≥3 or ≥4 interobservers were analysed. RESULTS: Consensus among ≥3 capillaroscopists was achieved in 86.9% of images, 75.8% of which were correctly predicted by the algorithm. Consensus among ≥4 experts occurred in 52.0% of cases, in which 87.1% of the algorithm's results matched with those of the expert panel. The algorithm's positive predictive value was >80% for microhaemorrhages and unaltered, giant or abnormal capillaries. Sensitivity was >75% for dilations and tortuosities. Negative predictive value and specificity were >89% for all categories. CONCLUSIONS: This external clinical validation suggests that this algorithm is useful to assist in the diagnosis and follow-up of SSc or RP patients in a timely manner. It may also be helpful in the management of patients with any pathology presenting with microvascular changes, as the algorithm has been designed to also be useful for research aiming at extending the usage of nailfold capillaroscopy to more conditions.

Connecting distinct realms along multiple dimensions: A meta-ecosystem resilience perspective.

Resilience research is central to confront the sustainability challenges to ecosystems and human societies in a rapidly changing world. Given that social-ecological problems span the entire Earth system, there is a critical need for resilience models that account for the connectivity across intricately linked ecosystems (i.e., freshwater, marine, terrestrial, atmosphere). We present a resilience perspective of meta-ecosystems that are connected through the flow of biota, matter and energy within and across aquatic and terrestrial realms, and the atmosphere. We demonstrate ecological resilience sensu Holling using aquatic-terrestrial linkages and riparian ecosystems more generally. A discussion of applications in riparian ecology and meta-ecosystem research (e.g., resilience quantification, panarchy, meta-ecosystem boundary delineations, spatial regime migration, including early warning indications) concludes the paper. Understanding meta-ecosystem resilience may have potential to support decision making for natural resource management (scenario planning, risk and vulnerability assessments).